WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$222.24
-0.89 (-0.40%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When WM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called WM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$364.81
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$226.52
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $222.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.66 to $226.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$217.66 -
$226.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($251.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$217.66 -
$226.54
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$218.13
Resistance Level
$232.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.48
Wall Street Target
$251.00
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.79
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$205.67
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$197.86
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$222.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 14.2%)
$331.19
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.2%)
$314.59
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.2%)
$267.40
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.35
Bull Case
$334.02
(+50%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$303.66
(+37%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$157.49
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$249.92
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Top Rated Waste Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Waste Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WCN
Waste Connections Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$206 | 53 HOLD |
|
RSG
Republic Services Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$244 | 64 BUY |
|
GFL
Gfl Environmental Holdin… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$56 | 59 HOLD |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$266 | 60 BUY |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc |
BUY
10 analysts |
$115 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
