WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock
$136.95
5.94 (4.53%)
▲
5d:
+11.67%
30d:
-9.51%
90d:
+15.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WPM is down 18.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 2,379 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WPM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WPM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.55
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $136.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $125.66 to $156.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.7) compared to its historical average (31.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 532.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.59 (+46.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.59 (+46.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$125.66 -
$156.27
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.2% below Wall St target ($191.59)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$125.66 -
$156.27
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.39
Resistance Level
$132.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.74
Wall Street Target
$191.59
(+46.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
127.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
532.7%
Profit Margin
63.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 31.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$106.12
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$95.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→32)
$139.71
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.6%)
$149.76
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 3.6%)
$145.67
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 3.6%)
$123.82
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$238.78
(+99%)
Analyst growth 89.4%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$217.07
(+81%)
Market implied 89.4%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$77.94
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 31.8
Stabilization Target:
$191.65
(+46.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-27
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-11-18
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-10-17
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Advanced WPM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WPM price and gamma walls.
