AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$71.22
1.00 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+7.05%
30d:
+6.79%
90d:
+36.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.88
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $71.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.22 to $69.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.22 -
$69.84
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($65.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.22 -
$69.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.67
Resistance Level
$73.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.45
Wall Street Target
$65.33
(-8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.4%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.78
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$78.52
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$82.45
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$230.91
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 22.4%)
$130.45
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 22.4%)
$110.88
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$154.48
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$140.44
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$47.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Chersi
SELL
28753 shares
2026-02-11
Barbara Trebbi
SELL
9691 shares
2026-02-10
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