ABEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABEV - AMBEV S.A.
$2.78
-0.02 (-0.71%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABEV is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABEV is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABEV is currently trading at $2.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.43 to $2.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.56, while resistance sits at $2.87.
Market Sentiment: ABEV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.56, while resistance sits at $2.87.
Market Sentiment: ABEV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$2.43 -
$2.73
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ABEV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($2.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.43 -
$2.73
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.56
Resistance Level
$2.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.65
Wall Street Target
$2.93
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$2.91
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$2.96
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$5.05
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$3.32
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.8%)
$2.82
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$2.83
(+2%)
Analyst growth -9.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$2.58
(-7%)
Market implied -9.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$1.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ABEV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ABEV price and gamma walls.
