BUD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$81.32
0.40 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
+2.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.51
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $81.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.91 to $79.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.73 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.73 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.91 -
$79.19
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.91 -
$79.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.02
Resistance Level
$82.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.57
Wall Street Target
$92.73
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$83.94
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$85.29
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$151.96
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$113.90
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$96.81
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.61
Bull Case
$120.92
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$109.93
(+35%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$54.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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