Is ACLS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ACLS is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ACLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ACLS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ACLS to be between $80.82 and $89.71. The current price is $90.43.

What is the analyst price target for ACLS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ACLS is $92.00. This implies a potential upside of 1.7% from current levels.

ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc

SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC

$90.43

-6.92 (-7.11%) ▼

5d: +5.43%

30d: +9.47%

90d: +9.47%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ACLS Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

ACLS is down 17.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-04-17 with 2 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 23.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$164.85

Based on 14.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$102.36

11.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $90.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.82 to $89.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.06, while resistance sits at $101.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: ACLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $80.82 - $89.71

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.1%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($92.00)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -5.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $80.82 - $89.71

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.07

Resistance Level $101.35

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.04

Wall Street Target $92.00 (+1.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.3%

Profit Margin 14.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium

PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 19.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $91.79 (+2%)

2-Year Target $93.16 (+3%)

3-Year Target $94.56 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $90.59 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 23.9%) $191.75 (+112%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 23.9%) $171.95 (+90%)

Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 23.9%) $146.16 (+62%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80

Bull Case $110.27 (+29%)

Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 24.4

Base Case $100.25 (+17%)

Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 22.2

Bear Case $57.41 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jorge Titinger SELL 1000 shares 2026-02-20

Jorge Titinger SELL 2000 shares 2025-12-17

Gerald M Blumenstock SELL 3034 shares 2025-12-11

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