ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$19.36
-0.16 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
-6.09%
90d:
-7.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $19.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.52 to $20.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.64, while resistance sits at $20.82.
Market Sentiment: ACR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.64, while resistance sits at $20.82.
Market Sentiment: ACR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.52 -
$20.90
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($24.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.52 -
$20.90
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.85
(9.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.64
Resistance Level
$20.82
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.77
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
32.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 23.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.45
(0%)
2-Year Target
$19.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$19.33
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$19.53
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$19.62
(+1%)
Analyst growth -6.9%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$17.83
(-9%)
Market implied -6.9%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$13.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$19.70
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
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