LADR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$10.01
0.03 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
-1.57%
30d:
-1.77%
90d:
+2.98%
SELL
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⚠️ CAUTION: LADR is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
⚠️ CAUTION: LADR is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.82
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.07
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $10.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.05 to $10.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+23.1%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+23.1%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.05 -
$10.27
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($12.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.05 -
$10.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.95
Resistance Level
$10.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.47
Wall Street Target
$12.32
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.8%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.69
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$9.54
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$10.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$42.80
(+328%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 18.5%)
$16.65
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 18.5%)
$14.15
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$21.96
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$19.96
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$6.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.51
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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