LADR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$10.04
0.15 (1.52%)
▲
5d:
-0.59%
30d:
-3.28%
90d:
-3.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LADR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LADR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.16
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.28
11.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $10.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.06 to $10.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.06 -
$10.37
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($12.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.06 -
$10.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.85
Resistance Level
$10.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.29
Wall Street Target
$12.32
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.8%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.62
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.36
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$9.11
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$9.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.4%)
$43.75
(+342%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 18.4%)
$16.44
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 18.4%)
$13.97
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$22.02
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$20.02
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$6.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$10.74
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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