ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$29.19
-2.86 (-8.92%)
▼
5d:
-3.92%
30d:
-4.79%
90d:
+16.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.28
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $29.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.97 to $32.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.09, while resistance sits at $34.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.09, while resistance sits at $34.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.97 -
$32.40
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.97 -
$32.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.09
Resistance Level
$34.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.85
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 15.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.00
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$32.92
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$34.96
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$43.69
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$37.81
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$31.49
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$50.08
(+72%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$45.53
(+56%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$21.79
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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