AHH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AHH - Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
$6.97
0.06 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
+4.03%
90d:
+8.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 16, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AHH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AHH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AHH is currently trading at $6.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.63 to $6.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.1) compared to its historical average (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.10 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.10 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$6.63 -
$6.95
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.10)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 20.2% growth expectation is conservative given 800% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.63 -
$6.95
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.71
Resistance Level
$7.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.07
Wall Street Target
$8.10
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-48.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
799.5%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.2% premium
PE vs Historical
48.1 vs 27.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.38
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$10.07
(+45%)
3-Year Target
$12.10
(+74%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$4.93
(-29%)
Analyst growth -34.1%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$4.48
(-36%)
Market implied -34.1%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$4.62
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AHH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frederick Blair Wimbush
BUY
520 shares
2025-10-02
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Advanced AHH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AHH price and gamma walls.
