BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$19.76
-0.06 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
-1.89%
90d:
+2.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.80
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $19.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.45 to $20.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.45 -
$20.22
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.55)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.45 -
$20.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.35
Resistance Level
$20.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.73
Wall Street Target
$21.55
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.78
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.80
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$19.82
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$25.00
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$21.41
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$18.20
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$25.76
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$23.42
(+19%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$13.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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