ALKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALKT - Alkami Technology, Inc. Common Stock
$16.61
-0.01 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-7.57%
30d:
-4.54%
90d:
+2.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ALKT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.95
36.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALKT is currently trading at $16.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.10 to $17.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.08, while resistance sits at $18.16.
Market Sentiment: ALKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.08, while resistance sits at $18.16.
Market Sentiment: ALKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.10 -
$17.37
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($21.67)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.10 -
$17.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.08
Resistance Level
$18.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.9%
Profit Margin
-10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.25
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$14.00
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$12.85
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$16.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 40.5%)
$69.55
(+319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 40.5%)
$46.10
(+178%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 40.5%)
$39.18
(+136%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$21.46
(+29.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Atlantic Genpar (Bermu G…
BUY
500000 shares
2026-03-12
Atlantic L.P. General
BUY
900000 shares
2026-03-11
Joseph P Payne
BUY
5500 shares
2026-03-11
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$143 | 62 BUY |
|
UBER
Uber Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
54 analysts |
$105 | 64 BUY |
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$223 | 53 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 56 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
50 analysts |
$153 | 56 HOLD |
