AM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$22.46
0.03 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-1.01%
30d:
+5.89%
90d:
-0.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.44
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $22.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.14 to $22.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.20, while resistance sits at $23.21.
Market Sentiment: AM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.20, while resistance sits at $23.21.
Market Sentiment: AM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.14 -
$22.36
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 8.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.14 -
$22.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.20
Resistance Level
$23.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.08
Wall Street Target
$23.57
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.69
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$22.80
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$48.73
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$33.74
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$28.68
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$42.73
(+90%)
Analyst growth 73.2%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$38.85
(+73%)
Market implied 73.2%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$15.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brooks J Klimley
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-12
Sheri Pearce
SELL
14000 shares
2026-03-10
Yvette K Schultz
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-09
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