AM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$22.11
0.13 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+3.75%
30d:
+3.85%
90d:
+3.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.22
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $22.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.11 to $22.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$21.11 -
$22.11
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.11 -
$22.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.67
Resistance Level
$22.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.69
Wall Street Target
$23.29
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.85
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.72
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$21.59
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$22.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.0%)
$50.18
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 15.0%)
$33.40
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 15.0%)
$28.39
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$42.06
(+91%)
Analyst growth 74.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$38.23
(+74%)
Market implied 74.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$14.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$22.44
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brooks J Klimley
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-12
Sheri Pearce
SELL
14000 shares
2026-03-10
Yvette K Schultz
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-09
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