AMPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMPG - AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM

COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC
$3.04
-0.13 (-4.10%) ▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

AMPG is down 26.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-04-17 with 601 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPG is down 26.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.01
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.73
18.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMPG is currently trading at $3.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.06 to $3.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+196.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $3.06 - $3.77
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 196.1% below Wall St target ($9.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -26.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.06 - $3.77
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.00
Resistance Level $4.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.79
Wall Street Target $9.00 (+196.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 115.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.6%
Profit Margin -33.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 11.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.74 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.46 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.22 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→11) $3.13 (+3%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 11.0
Stabilization Target: $4.29 (+41.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +41.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced AMPG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMPG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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