AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$8.22
-0.84 (-9.27%)
▼
5d:
-18.05%
30d:
-24.79%
90d:
-18.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPL is down 18.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPL is down 18.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $8.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.56 to $11.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 70.6) compared to its historical average (91.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.89, while resistance sits at $10.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+88.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.89, while resistance sits at $10.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+88.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.56 -
$11.40
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 88.6% below Wall St target ($15.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.56 -
$11.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.90
Resistance Level
$10.71
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.62
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+88.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Profit Margin
-31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
70.6 vs 91.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.54
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.91
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$6.34
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→92)
$8.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.6, Growth: 66.3%)
$27.74
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 66.3%)
$8.76
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 66.3%)
$7.45
(-9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 70.6 to 91.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.65
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erica Schultz
SELL
10000 shares
2025-10-15
Erica Schultz
SELL
10000 shares
2025-09-15
Erica Schultz
SELL
7500 shares
2025-08-15
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