AMPL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPL - Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.69
0.27 (4.29%)
▲
5d:
-7.28%
30d:
-8.42%
90d:
-43.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMPL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPL is currently trading at $6.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.79 to $7.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.4) compared to its historical average (71.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.36, while resistance sits at $7.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.70 (+98.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.36, while resistance sits at $7.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.70 (+98.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$6.79 -
$7.62
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 98.1% below Wall St target ($12.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.79 -
$7.62
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.36
Resistance Level
$7.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.38
Wall Street Target
$12.70
(+98.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Profit Margin
-25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 71.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.19
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→71)
$8.91
(+39%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.4, Growth: 55.3%)
$21.63
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 55.3%)
$12.97
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 55.3%)
$11.02
(+72%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.4 to 71.3
Stabilization Target:
$12.23
(+90.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+90.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
100 shares
2025-12-26
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SELL
42743 shares
2025-12-24
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10000 shares
2025-12-15
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