AMRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMRN - Amarin Corp Plc

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$14.06
-0.50 (-3.43%) ▼
5d: -6.39%
30d: -6.14%
90d: -10.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.35
8.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMRN is currently trading at $14.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.21 to $14.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMRN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $14.21 - $14.93
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($12.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.21 - $14.93
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.01
Resistance Level $15.58
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.35
Wall Street Target $12.50 (-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.2%
Profit Margin -15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 18.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.03 (-7%)
2-Year Target $12.08 (-14%)
3-Year Target $11.20 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→18) $14.05 (0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 18.0
Stabilization Target: $17.64 (+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +25.5%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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