AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$55.06
0.36 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+45.01%
90d:
+60.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
AMSC is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 4,959 OI. Call ratio: 92% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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1 traders called AMSC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $55.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.13 to $54.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 52.1) compared to its historical average (37.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.53, while resistance sits at $60.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.53, while resistance sits at $60.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.13 -
$54.45
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.3% growth expectation is conservative given 4267% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.13 -
$54.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.53
Resistance Level
$60.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.11
Wall Street Target
$52.33
(-5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4266.7%
Profit Margin
46.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.3% premium
PE vs Historical
52.1 vs 37.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.28
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$68.21
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$75.91
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.1, Growth: -69.5%)
$40.14
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -69.5%)
$17.00
(-69%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -69.5%)
$14.45
(-74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$30.08
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$27.35
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$37.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
