APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$16.64
0.16 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
-1.71%
30d:
+11.38%
90d:
+44.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APLE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APLE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.09
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $16.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.22 to $16.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.22 -
$16.72
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($15.61)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.8% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.22 -
$16.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.30
Resistance Level
$17.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.56
Wall Street Target
$15.61
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 18.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.10
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$19.70
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$21.43
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 2.3%)
$17.84
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.3%)
$16.49
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 2.3%)
$13.86
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$17.54
(+5%)
Analyst growth -3.2%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$15.94
(-4%)
Market implied -3.2%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$11.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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