AREN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AREN - The Arena Group Holdings, Inc.
$3.89
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AREN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AREN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.44
Based on -31.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AREN is currently trading at $3.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.93 to $4.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.3) is in line with its historical norms (4.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AREN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.74, while resistance sits at $4.28.
Market Sentiment: AREN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+208.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AREN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.74, while resistance sits at $4.28.
Market Sentiment: AREN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+208.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3.93 -
$4.20
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AREN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 208.5% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.93 -
$4.20
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.62
(16.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.74
Resistance Level
$4.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.27
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+208.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
65.6%
Profit Margin
84.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.81
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$3.73
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$3.65
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$3.93
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -66.7%)
$14.79
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -66.7%)
$2.84
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: -66.7%)
$2.41
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$4.82
(+24%)
Analyst growth 9.6%, PE expands to 5.3
Base Case
$4.39
(+13%)
Market implied 9.6%, PE stable at 4.8
Bear Case
$2.72
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 4.6
Stabilization Target:
$4.19
(+7.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AREN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AREN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AREN price and gamma walls.
