AS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AS - Amer Sports, Inc.
$36.63
-0.71 (-1.90%)
▼
5d:
-2.89%
30d:
-2.97%
90d:
+13.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
21d
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1 traders called AS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.4% annual earnings decline despite 127% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.4% annual earnings decline despite 127% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.30
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AS is currently trading at $36.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.86 to $38.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.4) compared to its historical average (43.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 127.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.43 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.43 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$36.86 -
$38.35
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($47.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.86 -
$38.35
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.54
Resistance Level
$38.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.37
Wall Street Target
$47.43
(+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
127.3%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.4 vs 43.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$29.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$26.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→44)
$37.12
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$72.85
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 25.8%)
$51.80
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.8%)
$44.03
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 30.96 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.18
Bull Case
$44.23
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$36.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$28.02
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.4 to 43.6
Stabilization Target:
$50.92
(+39.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
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