AS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AS - Amer Sports, Inc.
$31.43
-0.39 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
-18.76%
90d:
-16.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AS is down 4.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 1,800 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.47
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AS is currently trading at $31.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.31 to $38.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (37.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 998.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.96 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.96 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$32.31 -
$38.92
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.8% below Wall St target ($48.96)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.31 -
$38.92
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.55
Resistance Level
$34.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.79
Wall Street Target
$48.96
(+55.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
998.7%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 37.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→38)
$32.08
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$62.36
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.7%)
$52.15
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.7%)
$44.33
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$52.21
(+60%)
Analyst growth 54.4%, PE expands to 44.5
Base Case
$47.46
(+45%)
Market implied 54.4%, PE stable at 40.5
Bear Case
$20.90
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.8 to 37.5
Stabilization Target:
$44.00
(+40.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Advanced AS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AS price and gamma walls.
