LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$33.62
-0.17 (-0.50%) ▼
5d: +4.44%
30d: +21.11%
90d: +14.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your LTH Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

LTH is up 14.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $25 2026-07-17 with 754 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: LTH is 7.0% above its trading range ($31.41). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.61
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.18
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $33.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.40 to $31.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.07, while resistance sits at $35.33.

Market Sentiment: LTH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.40 - $31.41
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

LTH is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($40.57)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.40 - $31.41
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.07
Resistance Level $35.33
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.31
Wall Street Target $40.57 (+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.7%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 15.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.77 (+3%)
2-Year Target $35.78 (+6%)
3-Year Target $36.82 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $33.82 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.9%) $65.32 (+93%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.9%) $51.29 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 14.7, Growth: 14.9%) $43.60 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case $42.31 (+25%)
Analyst growth 14.2%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case $38.46 (+14%)
Market implied 14.2%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case $22.91 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Parham Javaheri SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-13
Erik Weaver SELL 1329 shares 2026-03-03
Erik Weaver SELL 1493 shares 2026-02-03

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Advanced LTH Option Strategies

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