ASTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASTS - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock

COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC
$77.06
-1.61 (-2.05%) ▼
5d: -12.85%
30d: -2.69%
90d: +7.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your ASTS Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

ASTS is down 9.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-06-18 with 6,660 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASTS trades at premium valuation expecting 119.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASTS is currently trading at $77.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.26 to $93.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 2092.3) compared to its historical average (197.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 119.6% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ASTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.53 (+12.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $82.26 - $93.81
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.53)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 119.6% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.8%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $82.26 - $93.81
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $75.05
Resistance Level $98.51
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2092.29
Wall Street Target $88.53 (+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2731.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +119.6% premium
PE vs Historical 2092.3 vs 197.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +119.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $118.01 (+50%)
2-Year Target $177.01 (+125%)
3-Year Target $265.51 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2092→198) PE COMPRESSION $25.06 (-68%)
Significant PE compression expected
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Keith R Larson BUY 625 shares 2025-12-24
Keith R Larson BUY 715 shares 2025-12-17
Keith R Larson BUY 675 shares 2025-12-10

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Advanced ASTS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTS price and gamma walls.

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