ASUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASUR - Asure Software, Inc

SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
$8.34
-0.26 (-3.02%) ▼
5d: +4.38%
30d: -11.56%
90d: -11.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASUR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.15
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.27
26.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASUR is currently trading at $8.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.82 to $9.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASUR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.70, while resistance sits at $8.82. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: ASUR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.33 (+59.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $7.82 - $9.26
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 16th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($13.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $7.82 - $9.26
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.87 (10.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.70
Resistance Level $8.82
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.84
Wall Street Target $13.33 (+59.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.7%
Profit Margin -9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 9.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.88 (-6%)
2-Year Target $7.45 (-11%)
3-Year Target $7.04 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $8.35 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 22.2%) $43.39 (+420%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 22.2%) $15.23 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 22.2%) $12.94 (+55%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 9.3
Stabilization Target: $9.89 (+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.6%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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