ATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$32.00
-0.41 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-9.55%
30d:
+2.24%
90d:
+2.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATS is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ATS is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.80
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $32.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.71 to $33.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.71 -
$33.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.71 -
$33.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.76
Resistance Level
$35.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.01
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$33.62
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$34.46
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$55.28
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 18.0%)
$52.62
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$44.73
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.40
Bull Case
$38.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$32.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$24.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATS showing a specific setup today?
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