BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$21.89
-0.06 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-1.75%
30d:
-4.7%
90d:
-3.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBVA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBVA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.75
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $21.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.58 to $23.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.58 -
$23.03
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.52)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.58 -
$23.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.70
Resistance Level
$22.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$22.52
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.71
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.59
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$18.53
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$22.03
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$57.68
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$23.75
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 2.8%)
$20.18
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$27.06
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$24.60
(+12%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$14.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$26.02
(+18.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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