BDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BDC - Belden Inc.
$117.51
-2.23 (-1.86%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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1 traders called BDC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.69
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.84
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BDC is currently trading at $117.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.57 to $119.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BDC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.40 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BDC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BDC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.40 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$115.57 -
$119.15
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($144.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$115.57 -
$119.15
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.43
(3.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.84
Resistance Level
$120.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$144.40
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.94
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$122.15
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$123.37
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.0%)
$201.19
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 5.0%)
$138.63
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$117.84
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.62
Bull Case
$181.00
(+54%)
Analyst growth 38.7%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$164.55
(+40%)
Market implied 38.7%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$80.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BDC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BDC price and gamma walls.
