BFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BFS - Saul Centers, Inc.
$31.73
0.10 (0.32%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 27, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BFS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BFS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.99
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BFS is currently trading at $31.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.29 to $32.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.0) is in line with its historical norms (39.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $32.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.50 (+43.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BFS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $32.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.50 (+43.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$31.29 -
$32.09
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.9% below Wall St target ($45.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.29 -
$32.09
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.77
Resistance Level
$32.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.05
Wall Street Target
$45.50
(+43.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.9%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
39.1 vs 39.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.66
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$31.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$31.72
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.0, Growth: -22.9%)
$23.06
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -22.9%)
$13.17
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -22.9%)
$11.19
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$23.37
(-26%)
Analyst growth -28.9%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$21.24
(-33%)
Market implied -28.9%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$20.33
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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