What is the fair value of BMBL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BMBL to be between $2.88 and $3.63. The current price is $3.15.

What is the analyst price target for BMBL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BMBL is $4.28. This implies a potential upside of 32.8% from current levels.

BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$3.15

-0.07 (-2.17%) ▼

5d: -12.26%

30d: +3.62%

90d: -10.51%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

BMBL is down 9.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $4 2026-05-15 with 384 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BMBL is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$4.78

Based on 5.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$2.97

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $3.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.88 to $3.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.28 (+32.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $2.88 - $3.63

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($4.28)
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.88 - $3.63

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.17

Resistance Level $4.31

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.10

Wall Street Target $4.28 (+32.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.1%

Profit Margin -71.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 3.1 vs 3.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.05 (-5%)

2-Year Target $2.89 (-10%)

3-Year Target $2.73 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $3.18 (-1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.0%) $27.70 (+760%)

Base: (SPY PE: 3.1, Growth: 6.0%) $3.83 (+19%)

Bear: (PE: 2.6, Growth: 6.0%) $3.26 (+1%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.1 to 3.6

Stabilization Target: $3.74 (+16.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +16.2%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Recent Transactions

Sissie L Hsiao SELL 2707 shares 2025-10-06

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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.

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