What is the fair value of BMBL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BMBL to be between $3.47 and $3.68. The current price is $3.34.

What is the analyst price target for BMBL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BMBL is $4.56. This implies a potential upside of 36.6% from current levels.

BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$3.34

-0.01 (-0.30%) ▼

5d: -13.92%

30d: -6.44%

90d: -39.05%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: February 2, 2026

Earnings: Feb 27, 2026 23d

Smart Money Accumulation

BMBL is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-04-17 with 1,668 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BMBL is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -60.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$0.47

Based on -28.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$0.29

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $3.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.47 to $3.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.6) is in line with its historical norms (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.56 (+36.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $3.47 - $3.68

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 82.9%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($4.56)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -10.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.47 - $3.68

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.30

Resistance Level $3.91

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.59

Wall Street Target $4.56 (+36.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.1%

Profit Margin -19.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium

PE vs Historical 3.6 vs 3.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.38 (+1%)

2-Year Target $3.42 (+2%)

3-Year Target $3.46 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) PE COMPRESSION $3.37 (+1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -60.3%) $15.12 (+353%)

Base: (SPY PE: 3.6, Growth: -60.3%) $2.43 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 3.1, Growth: -60.3%) $2.07 (-38%)

Last updated: February 02, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is BMBL showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sissie L Hsiao SELL 2707 shares 2025-10-06

- Nq L.L.C. Btoa SELL 16689884 shares 2025-08-13

Buzz Holdings L.P. Bcp SELL 16689884 shares 2025-08-13

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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.

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