Is BMBL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BMBL is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: BMBL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of BMBL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BMBL to be between $2.88 and $3.63. The current price is $3.24.

What is the analyst price target for BMBL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BMBL is $4.28. This implies a potential upside of 32.8% from current levels.

BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$3.24

0.02 (0.62%) ▲

5d: -9.75%

30d: +6.58%

90d: -7.95%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

BMBL is down 9.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $4 2026-05-15 with 384 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMBL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$4.78

Based on 5.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$2.97

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $3.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.88 to $3.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.28 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $2.88 - $3.63

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($4.28)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.88 - $3.63

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.17

Resistance Level $4.31

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.10

Wall Street Target $4.28 (+32.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.1%

Profit Margin -71.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 3.1 vs 3.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.05 (-5%)

2-Year Target $2.89 (-10%)

3-Year Target $2.73 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $3.18 (-1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.0%) $27.70 (+760%)

Base: (SPY PE: 3.1, Growth: 6.0%) $3.83 (+19%)

Bear: (PE: 2.6, Growth: 6.0%) $3.26 (+1%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.1 to 3.6

Stabilization Target: $3.74 (+16.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +16.2%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sissie L Hsiao SELL 2707 shares 2025-10-06

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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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