BMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMO - Bank of Montreal
$152.48
-0.49 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.27%
30d:
+2.13%
90d:
+8.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
Smart Money Distribution
BMO is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $130 2026-06-18 with 586 OI. Put ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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1 traders called BMO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.86
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMO is currently trading at $152.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.83 to $153.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$144.83 -
$153.90
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($141.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.83 -
$153.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.07
Resistance Level
$156.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.45
Wall Street Target
$141.37
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
27.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$157.09
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$159.45
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$151.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$518.89
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$222.18
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$188.86
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.77
Bull Case
$309.58
(+103%)
Analyst growth 84.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$281.44
(+85%)
Market implied 84.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$104.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BMO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMO price and gamma walls.
