BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$18.59
0.13 (0.68%)
ā²
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
-4.15%
90d:
+6.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.03
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $18.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.80 to $19.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.64 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.64 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.80 -
$19.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.64)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.80 -
$19.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.44
Resistance Level
$19.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.39
Wall Street Target
$20.64
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.7%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.84
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.53
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24ā26)
$18.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 5.8%)
$21.86
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.8%)
$20.08
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 5.8%)
$17.07
(-8%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$31.04
(+67%)
Analyst growth 51.4%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$28.22
(+52%)
Market implied 51.4%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$12.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.38
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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