BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$11.26
0.12 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
+3.78%
30d:
-0.62%
90d:
-12.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRSL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRSL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $11.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.93 to $11.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+48.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+48.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.93 -
$11.58
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.4% below Wall St target ($16.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.93 -
$11.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$11.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$16.71
(+48.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.02
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$12.41
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.3%)
$43.65
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 32.3%)
$26.07
(+132%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 32.3%)
$22.16
(+97%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$24.51
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$22.28
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$7.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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