BRSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSL - Brightstar Lottery PLC
$10.73
-0.39 (-3.51%)
▼
5d:
-17.78%
30d:
-16.5%
90d:
-20.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BRSL is down 17.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BRSL is down 17.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.24
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSL is currently trading at $10.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.89 to $13.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+55.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.71 (+55.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.89 -
$13.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.8% below Wall St target ($16.71)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.89 -
$13.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.67
Resistance Level
$13.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$16.71
(+55.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.8%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.60
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$10.54
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$10.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 43.4%)
$60.90
(+468%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 43.4%)
$31.64
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 43.4%)
$26.89
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$24.46
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$22.24
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$7.56
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$10.95
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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