BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$13.78
0.23 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+3.07%
30d:
+1.1%
90d:
-8.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.68
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $13.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.58 to $14.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.95, while resistance sits at $14.36.
Market Sentiment: BSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.95, while resistance sits at $14.36.
Market Sentiment: BSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.95
Resistance Level
$14.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.99
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.5%
Profit Margin
74.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.60
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$13.66
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$13.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.1%)
$37.04
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 14.1%)
$20.15
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 14.1%)
$17.13
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$13.10
(-3%)
Analyst growth -11.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$11.91
(-12%)
Market implied -11.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$9.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
30276 shares
2026-03-05
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