BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$13.79
0.11 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
+1.4%
90d:
-6.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.38
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $13.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.59 to $14.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.59 -
$14.02
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.59 -
$14.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.61
Resistance Level
$14.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.5%
Profit Margin
72.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.93
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.00
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.2%)
$37.91
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$21.06
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$17.90
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$13.51
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$12.28
(-11%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$9.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
30276 shares
2026-03-05
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