BTE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTE - Baytex Energy Corp.
$3.85
-0.04 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
-3.51%
30d:
-23.61%
90d:
-9.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BTE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.89
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.28
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTE is currently trading at $3.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.97 to $4.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BTE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.10 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BTE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.10 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.97 -
$4.85
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($5.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.97 -
$4.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.84
Resistance Level
$4.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.41
Wall Street Target
$5.10
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.6%
Profit Margin
-49.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.47
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.12
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→18)
$4.86
(+26%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.6%)
$7.44
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -2.6%)
$3.55
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -2.6%)
$3.02
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$6.66
(+73.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+73.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 06, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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