BTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTI - British American Tobacco p.l.c. American Depositary Shares, American Depositary Shares, each representing one Ordinary Share
$65.09
-1.61 (-2.41%)
▼
5d:
+11.68%
30d:
+15.94%
90d:
+9.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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3 traders called BTI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.28
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTI is currently trading at $65.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.27 to $61.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $57.97, while resistance sits at $67.30.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $57.97, while resistance sits at $67.30.
Market Sentiment: BTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.27 -
$61.73
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.24)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.27 -
$61.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.97
Resistance Level
$67.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$67.24
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$67.99
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$69.48
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.75
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$150.32
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$83.33
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$70.83
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case
$82.71
(+27%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$75.19
(+16%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$45.36
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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