BWMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWMN - Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Common Stock
$29.51
1.07 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
-0.57%
30d:
-9.4%
90d:
-12.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BWMN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BWMN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.05
41.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWMN is currently trading at $29.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.59 to $31.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.96, while resistance sits at $30.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.79 (+48.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.96, while resistance sits at $30.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.79 (+48.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$27.59 -
$31.99
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 48.4% below Wall St target ($43.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.59 -
$31.99
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.96
Resistance Level
$30.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.76
Wall Street Target
$43.79
(+48.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.2%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$30.18
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.3%)
$125.11
(+324%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 34.3%)
$71.43
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 34.3%)
$60.72
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$59.53
(+98%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$54.12
(+80%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$18.40
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$41.39
(+40.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Bowman
SELL
7500 shares
2026-01-21
Gary Bowman
SELL
12500 shares
2026-01-21
Gary Bowman
SELL
12500 shares
2025-12-17
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