BWMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BWMN - Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Common Stock

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$34.83
0.49 (1.43%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.52
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.03
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BWMN is currently trading at $34.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.08 to $35.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.13, while resistance sits at $37.50.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.29 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $34.08 - $35.95
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($45.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $34.08 - $35.95
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.64 (7.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.13
Resistance Level $37.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.81
Wall Street Target $45.29 (+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 825.0%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 19.8 vs 19.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.55 (+1%)
2-Year Target $34.75 (+1%)
3-Year Target $34.96 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $34.23 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.6%) $46.76 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 6.6%) $41.54 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.6%) $35.31 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case $66.18 (+90%)
Analyst growth 78.7%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case $60.17 (+73%)
Market implied 78.7%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case $22.90 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Bowman SELL 12500 shares 2025-10-22
Gary Bowman SELL 7500 shares 2025-10-22
Bruce J Labovitz SELL 10000 shares 2025-10-13

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Advanced BWMN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWMN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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