CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$11.71
-0.68 (-5.49%)
▼
5d:
-6.09%
30d:
-18.57%
90d:
+5.88%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.54
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $11.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.58 to $14.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+45.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+45.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.58 -
$14.36
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.2% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.58 -
$14.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.66
Resistance Level
$13.58
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.74
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+45.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.90
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$12.09
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$12.28
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$111.24
(+850%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 185.5%)
$39.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 185.5%)
$33.59
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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