CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$14.67
-0.46 (-3.04%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.89
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $14.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.97 to $14.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.84. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.84. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$12.97 -
$14.74
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 28.4% above Wall St target ($10.84)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.97 -
$14.74
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.71
(4.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$15.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.87
Wall Street Target
$10.84
(-28.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.6%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.39
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.65
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$15.91
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$24.74
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$19.83
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$16.86
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$16.19
(+10%)
Analyst growth -1.6%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$14.72
(+0%)
Market implied -1.6%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$10.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CCU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCU price and gamma walls.
