CEVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CEVA - CEVA Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$40.42
-5.09 (-11.18%) ▼
5d: -7.92%
30d: -18.52%
90d: +107.39%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CEVA trades at premium valuation expecting 11.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CEVA is currently trading at $40.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.94 to $47.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.3) compared to its historical average (36.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CEVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.11 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $41.94 - $47.92
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 34th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.11)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.0% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.9% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.94 - $47.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.25 (15.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.82
Resistance Level $51.60
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 49.30
Wall Street Target $46.11 (+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 95.9%
Profit Margin -10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.0% premium
PE vs Historical 49.3 vs 36.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.87 (+11%)
2-Year Target $49.80 (+23%)
3-Year Target $55.28 (+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 49→36) PE COMPRESSION $40.47 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 49.3, Growth: 55.2%) $136.42 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 55.2%) $60.26 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 55.2%) $51.22 (+27%)
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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