CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$113.32
1.69 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
-5.16%
30d:
-17.88%
90d:
-17.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.37
Based on -9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $113.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.96 to $137.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.60 (+55.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.60 (+55.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$118.96 -
$137.16
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($175.60)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.96 -
$137.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.25
Resistance Level
$126.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.10
Wall Street Target
$175.60
(+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$91.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$82.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→13)
$150.11
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -23.6%)
$253.44
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: -23.6%)
$82.61
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: -23.6%)
$70.22
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$205.91
(+81.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+81.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 06, 2026 7:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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