CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$147.76
-0.63 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+5.49%
30d:
+19.57%
90d:
+48.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.85
Based on -7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $147.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.56 to $145.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.59 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.59 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$131.56 -
$145.20
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.56 -
$145.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.82
Resistance Level
$150.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.71
Wall Street Target
$169.59
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.55
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$120.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$108.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$158.13
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -18.1%)
$245.77
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -18.1%)
$108.18
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -18.1%)
$91.95
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$216.91
(+46.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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