CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$161.92
0.35 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-2.95%
30d:
-12.59%
90d:
-1.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
CHRW is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $210 2026-05-15 with 862 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$303.46
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$188.43
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $161.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.89 to $184.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.72 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.72 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$167.89 -
$184.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($192.72)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$167.89 -
$184.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$160.45
Resistance Level
$175.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.61
Wall Street Target
$192.72
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 26.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.66
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$145.83
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$138.39
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$162.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 18.5%)
$269.39
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.5%)
$266.27
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$226.33
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.83
Bull Case
$275.28
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$250.25
(+50%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$114.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$189.77
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
7
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-13
Arun Rajan
BUY
605 shares
2026-02-12
David P Bozeman
BUY
1223 shares
2026-02-12
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Advanced CHRW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHRW price and gamma walls.
