CM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CM - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
$113.90
-2.17 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
-0.41%
30d:
+4.9%
90d:
+18.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Get Alerted When CM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$142.02
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CM is currently trading at $113.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.33 to $114.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$109.33 -
$114.87
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.33 -
$114.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.90
Resistance Level
$114.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.24
Wall Street Target
$109.31
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.0%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.86
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$119.90
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$123.02
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$114.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$306.72
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$144.19
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$122.56
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.10
Bull Case
$200.04
(+76%)
Analyst growth 56.7%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$181.86
(+60%)
Market implied 56.7%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$78.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAC
Bank of America Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$64 | 50 HOLD |
|
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company |
BUY
24 analysts |
$96 | 63 BUY |
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co |
BUY
25 analysts |
$343 | 63 BUY |
|
C
Citigroup Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$148 | 59 HOLD |
|
RY
Royal Bank of Canada |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$191 | 60 BUY |
