CNQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNQ - Canadian Natural Resources Limited
$47.57
0.37 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
+6.33%
30d:
+3.93%
90d:
+18.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CNQ is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $47.5 2026-06-18 with 5,807 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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2 traders called CNQ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.66
Based on -7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNQ is currently trading at $47.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.60 to $47.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.60 -
$47.53
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.60 -
$47.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.74
Resistance Level
$48.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$45.81
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.3%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.91
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$40.53
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$37.41
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$47.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -18.7%)
$79.29
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -18.7%)
$34.68
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -18.7%)
$29.48
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00
Bull Case
$64.05
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.4%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$58.23
(+22%)
Market implied 23.4%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$32.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.70
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CNQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNQ price and gamma walls.
