COHU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHU - Cohu Inc
$30.14
1.56 (5.46%)
▲
5d:
-5.46%
30d:
-3.24%
90d:
+28.53%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: COHU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: COHU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.12
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHU is currently trading at $30.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.44 to $31.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (35.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.14, while resistance sits at $32.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: COHU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.14, while resistance sits at $32.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: COHU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$28.44 -
$31.02
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
14th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.44 -
$31.02
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.59
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.14
Resistance Level
$32.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.27
Wall Street Target
$32.67
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.3%
Profit Margin
-16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 35.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.83
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→36)
$31.96
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 129.5%)
$96.46
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 129.5%)
$92.63
(+224%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 129.5%)
$78.74
(+176%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 35.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.84
(+53.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Bohrson
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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