CRAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRAI - CRA International, Inc.

SERVICES-LEGAL SERVICES
$178.21
-11.64 (-6.13%) ▼
5d: -7.66%
30d: -11.13%
90d: -6.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.88
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.58
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRAI is currently trading at $178.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.39 to $218.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRAI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $170.19, while resistance sits at $220.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.50 (+41.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $193.39 - $218.25
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 1th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.7% below Wall St target ($252.50)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $193.39 - $218.25
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$7.56 (4.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $170.19
Resistance Level $220.00
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.01
Wall Street Target $252.50 (+41.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 22.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $171.26 (-4%)
2-Year Target $164.58 (-8%)
3-Year Target $158.16 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→23) $178.65 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.1%) $250.84 (+41%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 8.1%) $225.06 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 8.1%) $191.30 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.33
Bull Case $222.22 (+17%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case $202.02 (+6%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case $128.48 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 22.6
Stabilization Target: $201.29 (+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan D Yellin SELL 1750 shares 2025-08-20

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