CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$61.50
0.36 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
-1.98%
90d:
+8.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.36
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $61.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.49 to $68.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.98, while resistance sits at $70.44.
Market Sentiment: CRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.83 (+32.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.98, while resistance sits at $70.44.
Market Sentiment: CRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.83 (+32.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.49 -
$68.20
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($80.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.49 -
$68.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.99
Resistance Level
$70.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.80
Wall Street Target
$80.83
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.5%
Profit Margin
-13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 21.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$49.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$44.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→22)
$70.09
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -15.6%)
$71.29
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$44.57
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: -15.6%)
$37.89
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$96.15
(+57.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould
SELL
24347 shares
2026-03-11
Omar Hayat
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland
SELL
16372 shares
2026-03-06
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