CRGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRGY - Crescent Energy Company
$12.92
0.31 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
+2.3%
90d:
+26.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CRGY is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-07-17 with 5,746 OI. Call ratio: 93% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.67
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $12.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.29 to $13.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.16, while resistance sits at $14.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.36 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.16, while resistance sits at $14.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.36 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.29 -
$13.34
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($17.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.29 -
$13.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.16
Resistance Level
$14.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.50
Wall Street Target
$17.36
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.58
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$10.63
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$9.76
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$12.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -3.0%)
$46.11
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: -3.0%)
$11.50
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: -3.0%)
$9.78
(-23%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$16.28
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.
