CRMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRMT - America's Car Mart Inc

RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
$25.72
0.62 (2.47%) ▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRMT trades at premium valuation expecting 21.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRMT is currently trading at $25.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.53 to $27.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.0) compared to its historical average (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRMT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.30, while resistance sits at $28.64.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+47.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $25.53 - $27.72
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.4% below Wall St target ($37.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 21.2% growth expectation is conservative given 1835% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $25.53 - $27.72
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.30
Resistance Level $28.65
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.02
Wall Street Target $37.00 (+47.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1834.6%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +21.2% premium
PE vs Historical 29.0 vs 16.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +21.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.42 (+21%)
2-Year Target $36.87 (+47%)
3-Year Target $44.69 (+78%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→16) PE COMPRESSION $25.10 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CRMT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRMT price and gamma walls.

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