CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock
$10.52
-0.46 (-4.19%)
▼
5d:
-3.04%
30d:
-14.68%
90d:
+39.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.70
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $10.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.02 to $11.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.02 -
$11.90
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with -17.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.02 -
$11.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.41
(13.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.40
Resistance Level
$12.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.33
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.51
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$11.79
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$20.95
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$13.79
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$11.72
(+7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRNC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.
