CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$10.98
1.29 (13.31%) ▲
5d: +12.16%
30d: +35.72%
90d: +48.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CRNC is 8.0% above its trading range ($10.17). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.39
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.31
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $10.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.44 to $10.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.97, while resistance sits at $12.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $8.44 - $10.17
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.0% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -17.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.44 - $10.17
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.97
Resistance Level $12.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.33
Wall Street Target $10.75 (-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -92.0%
Profit Margin -6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.31 (+3%)
2-Year Target $11.65 (+6%)
3-Year Target $12.00 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $10.97 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.9%) $21.15 (+93%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.9%) $13.79 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 7.9%) $11.72 (+7%)
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Last updated: May 22, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CRNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.

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