Is CSCO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CSCO is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CSCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CSCO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CSCO to be between $74.33 and $77.93. The current price is $78.32.

What is the analyst price target for CSCO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CSCO is $86.95. This implies a potential upside of 10.9% from current levels.

CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

Computer Communications Equipment

$78.32

-0.11 (-0.14%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$108.97

Based on 6.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$67.66

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $78.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.33 to $77.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.95 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $74.33 - $77.93

Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($86.95)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $74.33 - $77.93

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.01

Resistance Level $79.48

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.53

Wall Street Target $86.95 (+10.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.0%

Profit Margin 17.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.5 vs 18.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $77.72 (-1%)

2-Year Target $77.02 (-2%)

3-Year Target $76.33 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) $78.37 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.5%) $127.40 (+62%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 8.5%) $100.16 (+28%)

Bear: (PE: 14.9, Growth: 8.5%) $85.14 (+9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 30.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59

Bull Case $150.02 (+92%)

Analyst growth 72.7%, PE expands to 33.5

Base Case $136.38 (+74%)

Market implied 72.7%, PE stable at 30.5

Bear Case $53.69 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 18.0

Stabilization Target: $80.52 (+2.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +2.7%

Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23

Oliver Tuszik SELL 17526 shares 2025-09-19

Thimaya K Subaiya SELL 1744 shares 2025-09-12

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Advanced CSCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSCO price and gamma walls.

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Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

Computer Communications Equipment

About

Cisco Systems is the largest provider of networking equipment in the world and one of the largest software companies in the world. Its largest businesses are selling networking hardware and software (where it has leading market shares) and cybersecurity software such as firewalls. It also has collaboration products, like its Webex suite, and observability tools. It primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff—25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employs 80,000 people and sells its products globally.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $271,782,290,519

Employees: 86,200

Listed Since: 1990-02-16

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000858877

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