CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$291.62
-7.30 (-2.44%)
▼
5d:
-2.89%
30d:
+10.5%
90d:
-7.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.93
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.62
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $291.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $264.15 to $295.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $271.18, while resistance sits at $306.65.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $322.71 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $271.18, while resistance sits at $306.65.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $322.71 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$264.15 -
$295.66
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($322.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 20.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$264.15 -
$295.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$271.18
Resistance Level
$306.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.90
Wall Street Target
$322.71
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$297.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$304.00
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$310.38
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$291.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$505.41
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 20.1%)
$418.33
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 20.1%)
$355.58
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.56
Bull Case
$509.38
(+75%)
Analyst growth 54.9%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$463.07
(+59%)
Market implied 54.9%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$203.27
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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