CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$272.07
-2.55 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+6.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.93
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.62
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $272.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $261.69 to $278.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.50, while resistance sits at $282.19.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.57 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.50, while resistance sits at $282.19.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.57 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$261.69 -
$278.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($324.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$261.69 -
$278.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.50
Resistance Level
$282.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.23
Wall Street Target
$324.57
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$271.53
(0%)
2-Year Target
$270.98
(0%)
3-Year Target
$270.44
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$272.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$471.52
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$444.91
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 20.1%)
$378.18
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.70
Bull Case
$528.04
(+94%)
Analyst growth 74.8%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$480.03
(+76%)
Market implied 74.8%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$186.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$274.05
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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